While the Jacksonville Jaguars are coming off of their bye week, many fans aren’t optimistic about them improving their 1-6 record heading forward. The team will be going through their toughest stretch of the schedule in the second half of their 2020 season, which includes team’s like the Tennessee Titans, Green Bay Packers, Pittsburgh Steelers and Baltimore Ravens to name a few.

As a result of a very competitive second half of their schedule, ESPN’s Football Power Index was able to validate the pessimism surrounding the Jags with its latest projections. After simulating the remainder of the season for the whole league 10,000 times, their results gave the Jags a 3.2 draft average, which was the second lowest of any team. They were also given a 21.5% chance to get the No. 1 overall pick and an 87.3% chance to end up in the top-5.

Of course, the only team with worst results were the winless New York Jets, who had an average draft position of 1.8.

2. Jacksonville Jaguars (1-6)

Average draft position: 3.2
FPI chance to earn No. 1 pick: 21.5%
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 87.3%

This is  something Jags fans have grown used to when looking at the mock drafts that have been surfacing on the web. Many of them have had the Jags picking in the top-3, which seems fair mostly because of how their defense has struggled. Additionally, the Jags have allowed 30 points or more in all of their losses, which makes it an uphill battle for victories week in and week out.

Despite the defense being the issue, many of the mocks have projected the Jags to go with a quarterback — and that especially should be the case if they are picking second overall as the power index suggests. While Gardner Minshew II has given the Jags a few magical moments, the upside of a quarterback like Justin Fields or Trevor Lawrence is something a bad franchise simply can’t pass on. Plus, if a new regime comes in, they should want their own quarterback.

If the Jags finish with three wins or less, it should result in Shad Khan cleaning house as Doug Marrone is in his fourth season as Jags head coach and Dave Caldwell is in his eight season as general manager. Granted a dramatic change, both would only have one winning season with the team, which is a sign of very little progress during their respective tenures.