Super Bowl 54 is fast approaching, and that means we need to help you win some money on the prop bets that are popping up everywhere.
We combed through the props we’ve seen (all of them via BetMGM unless otherwise noted) and found the best ones to put your money on.
As a reminder: some of them might seem a little strange to you (“Wait, you’re telling us to bet on something that’s BARELY happened in Super Bowl history? Are you nuts?!”), but this is an exercise in finding value, which can be tough when betting on an event like this one.
Away we go:
1. Which player will score a touchdown in the game? (Patrick Mahomes +370)
I like the odds and I like what I saw out of Mahomes running a lot in his past three games (seven rushing attempts or more). You have to imagine he’s going to scramble a bunch against Nick Bosa and the 49ers pass rush, so I’ll put a few bucks on Mahomes entering the end zone at some point. — Charles Curtis
2. How many passing yards will Jimmy Garoppolo record? (Over 300.5 +330)
The game script that seems the most likely in my head is a close contest in which the Niners continuing to run the ball like crazy. But this is your hedge against Mahomes turning this into a shootout and forcing Jimmy G. to toss the rock more than eight times (!) like he did two weeks ago. This also isn’t THAT crazy — he went over 300 yards three times this year. — CC
3. Super Bowl MVP (Travis Kelce +1400)
Let’s get nuts! Do you know how many tight ends have won Super Bowl MVP? NONE! So why not go for the longshot who has the possibility of scoring three touchdowns (I know, if that happens, it’s Mahomes’ award, but what’s the fun in betting on a quarterback?) — CC
4. Super Bowl MVP (Raheem Mostert (+750)
Okay, fine. This is probably the more prudent bet. If he has another big game in him and the Niners’ D clamps down on the Chiefs, he could be in line for the award. And what a story that would be for the former undrafted free agent. — CC
5. Winning margin (49ers by 1-6 +325; Chiefs by 1-6 +310)
I think it’s going to be a tight game either way, so these feel like easy bets to throws some cash on. — CC
6. Will an offensive lineman score a touchdown? (DraftKings; Yes +3300)
The odds are SO GOOD and I can just see one of these creative offensive teams going for it. — CC
7. How many receiving yards will Deebo Samuel have? (Over 56.5 +100)
This is a no-brainer for me. Samuel has been more involved with the offense late in the season, and Kyle Shanahan finds ways to manufacture touches for him. He could hit this mark by halftime. — Steven Ruiz
8. How many receptions will Damien Williams record? (Over 3.5 +100)
Another easy pick for me. The 49ers’ defensive scheme is designed to give up throws underneath, so I expect Mahomes to throw at least a few checkdowns to his running back. Throw in a screen pass or two, and Williams should get more than three receptions. — SR
9. Will Jimmy Garoppolo throw an interception? (Yes -135)
Garoppolo threw 13 picks during the regular season and defenders dropped another eight. He puts the ball in dangerous spots a lot, and the Chiefs have capitalized on opposing quarterbacks’ mistakes this season. — SR
10. What will be the result of the 1st drive of the game? (Any outcome other than a TD, FG or Safety +105)
Super Bowls always seem to get off to cagey starts. I think that happens here, especially if the 49ers start out with the ball. One stuffed run and I think Kansas City’s defense gets off the field. Worst case scenario is Patrick Mahomes getting the ball first, but at least you have the league’s best defense to depend on. — SR
11. First scoring play (Chiefs TD +150)
Hedge the last bet with this one just in case Mahomes does hit the field first. Either way, I think this is a smart bet. — SR
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