1. Boise State at San Diego State
LINE Boise State -3
ATS PICK Boise State
So you’re still not buying into the whole Friday-after-Thanksgiving football is weird, thing?
Try a 9 am local time kickoff for the No. 21 team in college football playing the biggest game of the year in front of friends and family in a “home” date two hours from campus.
San Diego State is playing in Carson while its new home stadium is being built, but that doesn’t matter now. What does matter is Fresno State’s blowout win over San Jose State on Thursday to put the pressure on the Aztecs to win this or else.
It’s simple. If San Diego State wins, it goes to the Mountain West Championship. If it loses, Fresno State goes.
Boise State probably isn’t getting in – it needs to win and hope for Air Force to lose to UNLV – but it’s about to take care of its side of business.
There was a loss in the season opener at UCF – when the Knights were fully healthy and functional – but Boise State has won every road game since, and by a whole lot.
It took down Utah State by 24, knocked off BYU by nine, and obliterated Fresno State by 26. This team has a way of locking in and playing its best away from the blue turf.
Personally, I love San Diego State. Best-smelling campus on the planet, kid will probably go there next year, and the combination of defense and running game is the exact style of college football that works for me.
But this San Diego State team just isn’t that great.
It’s been able to survive way too many close games against way too many bad teams – but, to its credit, it got by Utah, Air Force, and Arizona, too. It’s all about to finally slip the other way.
Boise State’s offense has been too balanced and it’s playing too effectively well over the last month.
By the way, happy belated Thanksgiving, everyone.
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