4. UConn at Fresno State point total
TOTAL: 63
ATS PICK: UNDER
This will be a Bulldog blowout, but that total is too big.
There are two problems here and they both work against UConn in this hate-pick – I despise going off of numbers from two years ago, but …
1) The program opted out and hasn’t played a game since late November of 2019. 2) It had to replace a whole lot of guys and will hardly be a cohesive offensive machine.
– Week 1 Schedule, Predictions For Every Game
UConn was miserable in its 2-10 season – only beating Wagner from the FCS world along with a more-miserable UMass team. On the year, only four of the 12 UConn games went over on the 63.
The Huskies didn’t score on a consistent basis then, they didn’t score on a consistent basis in 2018, and they’re not going to light it up this year, either. They only managed more than 22 points 14 times in their last 46 games.
On the other side, the Fresno State defense will be better after a rocky 2020. Even with the bad D and high-powered O, only two of its six games went over 63.