4. Oregon State at Washington
LINE Washington -4.5
ATS PICK Washington
(Washington 24, Oregon State 21 … I can not BELIEVE Washington didn’t get in the end zone on the final drive – and didn’t somehow pull it out on the crazy kickoff. Once again Oregon State burns me …)
I’ve been hurt by Oregon State before.
It was supposed to struggle against a solid Washington State team, and it won 24-10 to cover easily.
It was supposed to get blasted by USC with all of its glitz and fun. 17-14 Trojans.
I had Stanford beating the Beavers outright for all you money line types and lost on a miraculous late play.
However, Oregon State has played three road games. It got steamrolled by Utah 42-16, needed a minor miracle to slip past Fresno State late, and it got that crazy play against Stanford. Obviously everyone is better at home, but traveling up the road matters here.
And hosting the Beavers matters, too.
Washington is a different team in Seattle. It’s unbeaten, the offense is far stronger, and hanging 40 on the board is the norm.
Now, this comes with a little bit of a warning. 1) I’m always scared of games that aren’t on Saturday – the rhythms and vibes are off, and 2) the best team Washington faced at home was Michigan State. I’m not going to lie, I have a deep fear of a late road team score to lose 35-31, but …
Nah. Give me the best passing team in America in the comforts of its own home.