1. UMass at Pitt
LINE Pitt -38
ATS PICK Pitt
UMass isn’t going to score.
Last year was last year, but the offense came up with just 12 points – and one touchdown – in four games, and the Minutemen didn’t make a whole ton of changes to make things a ton better.
It’s actually the opposite – UMass is missing a slew of players through the transfer portal who would’ve been key veterans.
The biggest overall issue is an offensive line that didn’t do anything for the rushing attack and had massive problems in pass protection.
Welcome to the Pitt pass rush.
The Panthers might be missing a ton of key guys from 2020, but the system always brings the heat and the Minutemen won’t be able to handle it.
But you still need to get to 38, and that’s after the line started out at 35. That might not be a sure thing considering the history of the Pitt offense.
Again, the past is the past, but the 2019 offense didn’t score more than 35 points in any game – including in a win over Delaware – and only did that three times in 11 games in 2020.
It’ll be fine.
Pitt has the offense to get there in a hurry, and it should be able blow past 38 points on the board against a UMass D that allowed 41 points or more in three of the last four games last season and in 15 of the last 17 games played. And again, UMass probably won’t score, and if it does, it isn’t getting to double-digits.
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